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Betting Against Trump

The UK betting house Ladbrokes has just raised the odds that Trump will be impeached or will resign to 56%. The odds were previously close to even at 52%, but things seem to be getting worse for the embattled president.

And we may get our first official test of Trump’s failing popularity. Georgia will vote in two weeks to fill the congressional seat vacated by Tom Price when he joined Trump’s cabinet. Republican Price won that election in November by over 20 points, but just a few months later the leading candidate is a previously unknown congressional aide, Jon Ossoff, who is a Democrat. Ossoff has raised a stunning $8.3 million for his campaign. To put that in perspective, the only Congress critter who raked in more money from supporters in the November 2016 election was Speaker of the House Paul Ryan.

Ossoff is running a campaign to “Make Trump Furious”. There are 18 candidates in the election, but polls show Ossoff with around 40% of the vote, which is far more than any other candidate, but not enough to avoid a runoff.


Also published on Medium.

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3 Comments

  1. westomoon wrote:

    Sounds to me like Ladbrokes seriously underestimates the abysmal uselessness of the Republican US House.

    Maybe after the 2018 elections we’ll have a Congress capable of first recognizing and then impeaching a toxic President, but right now we do not.

    Thursday, April 6, 2017 at 10:18 am | Permalink
  2. notycoon22 wrote:

    Two significant events relative to filling vacancies vacated by cabinet appointees. Apparently the publicans in Georgia have already turned to dirty campaign adds. Sounds like they are truly a bit worried they may lose the seat. Meanwhile, in Montana, the national Democratic Party isn’t even involved in trying to elect a Democrat to fill Ryan Zinke’s seat and yet they have a decent chance of doing so. Huh?
    Don, Yreka

    Thursday, April 6, 2017 at 12:18 pm | Permalink
  3. mainmata wrote:

    Not so fast. GA’s election records have all been hacked and the GOP Secretary of State is refusing to go to paper ballots instead. Says the hack is nothing to worry about. That says to me that the GA GOP is about to outright steal the election.

    Saturday, April 8, 2017 at 11:29 am | Permalink

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  1. Mike's Blog Round Up | Celebrity Gossip Fix on Saturday, April 8, 2017 at 11:33 am

    […] Political Irony consults the bookies on Trump getting impeached. I’d like a piece of the action, please! […]

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