Today on “Meet the Press”, McCain said that he can “guarantee” a squeaker victory on election day that won’t be clear until late that night. McCain told moderator Tom Brokaw:
I guarantee you that two weeks from now, you will see this has been a very close race, and I believe that I’m going to win it. We’re going to do well in this campaign, my friend. We’re going to win it, and it’s going to be tight, and we’re going to be up late.
Ironically, almost everyone else disagrees. The polling experts at FiveThirtyEight give McCain a mere 3.3% chance of winning, predicting Obama will prevail with 351 electoral votes (the winner needs 270). The Electoral Vote site predicts Obama will win 375 electoral votes. In the popular vote, Real Clear Politics has Obama up by 7.6%. Even the money is on Obama, with the betting site InTrade giving it to Obama with 87.9% (versus McCain at 12.5%).
Does McCain know something nobody else does, or is it too late for an October surprise?
UPDATE: of course, they can just steal the election.