Some interesting facts about the primary contest so far.
First is that polling has become much more difficult. For example, in South Carolina every major poll except one predicted that Hillary Clinton would beat Bernie Sanders by between 18 and 30 points. The lone dissenting poll predicted that she would win by 50 points, so many people dismissed it as an outlier.
But Clinton won by 47 points. Why were all the other polls so far off? The biggest problem is that so few people even bother to vote any more. In South Carolina only 12.5% of registered Democrats voted in the Democratic primary. Many people (like young people) who told the polls that they supported Bernie Sanders didn’t bother to go to the polls on Saturday.
One way of looking at this is that with 12.5% turnout, if you do vote your vote counts for eight people.
Another interesting statistic is that if you just look at the actual number of people who have voted (or caucused), Clinton has already received more votes (448,766) than Donald Trump (420,315).
This means that if slightly less than 30,000 additional people had voted for Trump, he would have received more votes than Clinton. In a close race, especially one with low turnout, a small number of additional votes can have a huge (yuuge) impact.
Super Tuesday is tomorrow, so make your vote count and actually vote.