A new Gallup poll measures the enthusiasm of each presidential candidate’s supporters. One of their conclusions merits a closer look:
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton’s supporters are more enthusiastic than Sen. Bernie Sanders’ supporters, 54% vs. 44%.
Wait, what? Why do I keep hearing that Sanders supporters are far more enthusiastic than Clinton supporters? Doesn’t Sanders get massive crowds at his rallies? Isn’t he receiving far more small donations from individual donors? Doesn’t he consistently win caucus states where enthusiasm counts more than numbers?
But as Electoral-Vote points out, Sander’s supporters tend to be younger, while Clinton’s tend to be older. And in general, older people don’t go to rallies, but they are far more reliable voters. And it is the vote that counts.
Gallup speculates that the enthusiasm around Clinton is based on the historic nature of her candidacy and also their confidence that she will become both the first female major-party nominee and the first woman president. It also might be because Clinton is associated with the Obama administration, and Obama’s rising approval ratings indicate that people are waking up to how good a president Obama has been.
The bottom line is, don’t believe every media or internet narrative. As Electoral-vote points out “sometimes they are true but sometimes not. It depends on who is doing the narrating and which axe is being ground.”